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The Global Technology Revolution 2020, In-Depth Analyses
Bio/Nano/Materials/Information Trends, Drivers, Barriers, and Social Implications
In 2020, areas of particular importance for technology trends will include biotechnology, nanotechnology, materials technology, and information technology. The authors of this report assessed a sample of 29 countries across the spectrum of scientific advancement (low to high) with respect to their ability to acquire and implement 16 key technology applications (e.g., cheap solar energy, rural wireless communications, genetically modified crops). The study’s major conclusions are that scientifically advanced countries such as the United States, Germany, and Japan will be able to implement all key technology applications evaluated; countries that are not scientifically advanced will have to develop significant capacity and motivation before barriers to technology implementation can be overcome; and public policy issues in certain areas will engender public debate and strongly influence technology implementation.
This report is the companion to, and included as a CD-ROM with, The Global Technology Revolution 2020, Executive Summary: Bio/Nano/Materials/Information Trends, Drivers, Barriers, and Social Implications (Silberglitt et al., MG-475-NIC, 2006).
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Pages: 314
ISBN/EAN: 0-8330-3975-X
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Contents
Chapter One:
Introduction
Chapter Two:
Technology Applications and Their Effects
Chapter Three:
International Variation in Technology Applications and Implementation
Chapter Four:
Conclusions
Appendix A:
Biotechnology, Bionanotechnology, and Biomedical Science Trends to 2020
Appendix B:
Nanotechnology Trends to 2020
Appendix C:
Materials Science and Engineering Trends to 2020
Appendix D:
Information Technology Trends to 2020
Appendix E:
Creating New Opportunities for Improving Existing Therapeutics: Nano-Enabled Drug Delivery Systems Trends Toward 2020
Appendix F:
Technology and Terrorism
Appendix G:
Sectoral Impacts of Technology Applications
Appendix H:
Index of Science and Technology Capacity
Appendix I:
2005 Freedom Rating for 29 Selected Countries
Appendix J:
HDI Rank, Scores, and Development Indicator Statistics for 29 Selected Countries
Appendix K:
Knowledge Assessment (Unweighted) for Selected Countries, Ranked by Innovation Scores
The research described in this report was prepared for the National Intelligence Council and was conducted by the RAND National Security Research Division (NSRD).
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