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Assessing Capabilities and Risks in Air Force Programming

Framework, Metrics, and Methods

Cover: Assessing Capabilities and Risks in Air Force Programming: Framework, Metrics, and Methods

By: Don Snyder, Patrick Mills, Adam C. Resnick, Brent D. Fulton

The goal of the defense budget is to deliver a portfolio of capabilities to meet a spectrum of uncertain future security environments. Despite progress in recent U.S. Air Force capabilities-based programming efforts, many limitations persist, and there are many disconnects between capability assessments and programming. To help mitigate these limitations, the findings presented here reexamine capabilities-based programming by introducing a new definition of capability metrics and a new set of algorithms for building and evaluating budgeting allocations. The capability metrics relate resources to operational-level activities in national plans, apply across a range of programs, and conform to programming boundaries. The algorithms provide the programmer with a means to quantitatively and reproducibly develop programming options in light of an uncertain future security environment, serving as a means to express capabilities and risks of resource allocations in terms of national planning objectives.

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Pages: 88

ISBN/EAN: 9780833046086

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Contents

Chapter One:
Introduction

Chapter Two:
Air Force Programming and Capability Assessments

Chapter Three:
Linking Programming Decisions with Capability Assessments

Chapter Four:
Algorithms for Capabilities-Based Programming

Chapter Five:
Applications to Policy Analysis

The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Air Force and conducted by RAND Project AIR FORCE.

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