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Toward Affordable Systems

Portfolio Analysis and Management for Army Science and Technology Programs

Cover: Toward Affordable Systems: Portfolio Analysis and Management for Army Science and Technology Programs

By: Brian G. Chow, Richard Silberglitt, Scott Hiromoto

Consistent with U.S. Department of Defense acquisition policy since 2003, U.S. Army leadership has called for consideration of lifecycle cost at system design and technology development stages so that adjustments can be made early enough to ensure affordability. This study developed and demonstrated a method and model to incorporate lifecycle cost into the portfolio analysis and management process for Army Science and Technology programs. The linear programming model developed here can select an optimized portfolio of Science and Technology projects to meet all individual capability requirements at the lowest total remaining lifecycle cost. The study results demonstrate several applications important to the management of Army Science and Technology programs, as well as estimation methods for the contribution of Science and Technology projects to capability requirements and for cost components.

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Pages: 182

ISBN/EAN: 9780833046826

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Contents

Chapter One:
Introduction

Chapter Two:
The Current DoD Acquisition Policy

Chapter Three:
Description of Our Evolutionary Method

Chapter Four:
Estimation of Input Parameters

Chapter Five:
Applications to S&T Portfolio Management

Chapter Six:
Findings and Recommendations

Appendix A:
Additional Information on Army Acquisition Categories and Combat Developer

Appendix B:
Estimation of Expected Values

Appendix C:
Estimation of Marginal Unit Cost, Number of Units, and Marginal Operating and Maintenance Cost

Appendix D:
Universal Curves for Estimation of the Remaining Lifecycle Cost for Components

Appendix E:
Choosing Essential ATOs Across a Wide Range of Capability Requirements

Appendix F:
Insensitivity of Model Results to Detailed Estimation of Remaining Lifecycle Cost

The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Army and conducted by RAND Arroyo Center.

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