Message from the Editor
Our ContributionThe last time America defeated an adversary with global reach, research played an essential role. The research conducted here at RAND helped to unlock the political mysteries of the Soviet Politburo, to extrapolate details about the otherwise enigmatic Soviet economy, to compare the effectiveness of alternative U.S. military strategies, and to sharpen the performance of military operations.America's new waragainst another adversary with global reachwill require an even greater analytical effort. Terrorism is an enemy much more inscrutable than the former Soviet Union. If research was crucial before, it is absolutely indispensable now. This issue of RAND Review offers a sampling of what we are contributing on a wide range of fronts to help fight terrorism. In the year since Sept. 11, 2001, we have examined the dimensions of the terrorist threatand the potential responses to itin greater detail than ever before in our three decades of counterterrorism research. James Thomson and Brian Jenkins set the stage for this issue. Thomson describes four troubling global trends that we urgently need to understand better so that we can counteract terrorism better, while Jenkins offers a unique historical perspective on the pioneering role of counterterrorism research at RAND. In the 27 essays that follow, RAND authors offer specific policy recommendations when they can. When they cannot, they outline the important questions that need to be answered before recommendations can be made. All of these essays represent work done within the past year.
Here are some of our initial findings:
Here are some of the questions that still cry out for answers:
Our work proceeds on additional fronts not covered in these pages. Research on demographic trends in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Central Asia could inform U.S. military plans and international development programs. Research on educational reform in the Middle East could yield promising strategies for diverting youth away from anger and frustration.
America needs research in all of these areas to help win the war against terrorism. We consider our counterterrorism research of the past yearand of the past 30 yearsto be just a start.
John Godges
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