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Faultlines of Conflict in Central Asia and the South Caucasus
Implications for the U.S. Army
This report identifies and evaluates key faultlines in Central Asia and South Caucasus and how they affect the likelihood and possible evolution of armed conflict in these regions. These faultlines include the role of state political and economic weakness; the impact of crime and the drug trade; the effects of ethnic tensions as well as foreign interests and influence; and the impact of competition over natural resources. The analysis then examines the ways in which the emergence of conflict could draw the United States into the strife and examines the operational challenges that the region poses for possible Army deployments in the 2010-2015 time frame.
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Pages: 408
ISBN/EAN: 0-8330-3260-7
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Contents
Preface, Figures, Tables, Summary, Acknowledgments PDF
Chapter One:
Introduction PDF
Thomas S. Szayna and Olga Oliker
Chapter Two:
The Political Evolution of Central Asia and South Caucasus: Implications for Regional Security PDF
Tanya Charlick-Paley with Phil Williams and Olga Oliker
Chapter Three:
Some Economic Dimensions of Security in Central Asia and South Caucasus PDF
Abraham S. Becker
Chapter Four:
Criminalization and Stability in Central Asia and South Caucasus PDF
Phil Williams
Chapter Five:
Natural Resources and Potential Conflict in the Caspian Sea Region PDF
Sergej Mahnovski
Chapter Six:
Potential for Ethnic Conflict in the Caspian Region PDF
Thomas S. Szayna
Chapter Seven:
Conflict in Central Asia and South Caucasus: Implications of Foreign Interests and Involvement PDF
Olga Oliker
Chapter Eight:
Central Asia and South Caucasus as an Area of Operations: Challenges and Constraints PDF
William D. O’Malley
Chapter Nine:
Sources of Conflict and Paths to U.S. Involvement PDF
Olga Oliker and Thomas S. Szayna
Bibliography PDF
The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Army and conducted by the RAND Arroyo Center.
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