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Demographic Trends and National Security

Global population dynamics are likely to affect the nature and sources of international conflict and national power in the 21st century. Nations in the industrial world are experiencing low or negative population growth, while many developing nations' populations continue to grow rapidly. These dynamics, combined with increased migrant flows and potential competition over scarce resources such as water and arable land, could exacerbate existing tensions or contribute to conflict in various regions of the world.

Our work on population and security has produced:

  • a report identifying demographic trends that pose international security concerns, which explores the security implications of these trends and identifies potential U.S. responses to these issues.
  • a summary of a workshop held in Paris, France, that examined several aspects of global population dynamics and their security implications, especially for Western Europe and the United States.
  • journal articles on regional demographics and the war on terrorism and on demographics and security in Russia, South Asia, and Southeast Asia (to be published soon).

Several documents now in process examine population dynamics in the Middle East, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Central Asia and the security implications for those regions' futures.

See publications on this topic.

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