Pardee Center Publications
Strategic Planning and Measures of Human Progress
RAND has done a wide variety of strategic planning work. Much of that work would fall under the category of longer-range policy work and can be found below under "Longer-Range Studies." There are four specific strategic planning areas, however, that deserve mention for the pioneering methdological work that has gone on at RAND:
RAND has also done a small amount of research in measuring human progress.
The following publications are listed in reverse chronological order. Publications that are available online will have a link to a "Full Document"; links to "Document Abstract " generally include an abstract of the publication along with ordering information.
Assumption-Based Planning
Assumption-Based Planning: A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises - 2002
James A. Dewar, Cambridge University Press ISBN 0-521-00126-9
Defense Planning in a Decade of Change: Lessons from the Base Force, Bottom-Up Review, and Quadrennial Defense Review - 2001
Eric V. Larson, David T. Orletsky, Kristin Leuschner, MR-1387-AF
Assumption-Based Planning and Force XXI - 1997
James A. Dewar, Jeffrey A. Isaacson, Maren Leed, DB-172-A
Assumption-Based Planning: A Planning Tool for Very Uncertain Times - 1993
James A. Dewar, Carl H. Builder, William M. Hix, Morlie H. Levin, MR-114-A
Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21 - 1992
James A. Dewar, Morlie H. Levin, R-4172-A
Capabilities-Based Planning
New Challenges, New Tools for Defense Decisionmaking - 2003
Stuart Johnson, Martin Libicki, and Gregory F. Treverton, editors, MR-1576-RC
Analytic Architecture for Capabilities-Based Planning, Mission-System Analysis, and Transformation - 2002
Paul K. Davis, MR-1513-OSD
Day-After
An Exploration of Cyberspace Security R&D Investment Strategies for DARPA: "The Day After ... in Cyberspace II" - 1996
Robert H. Anderson and Anthony C. Hearn, MR-797-DARPA
"The Day After..." Study: Nuclear Proliferation in the Post-Cold War World. Volume I, Summary Report - 1993
Marc Dean Millot, Roger C. Molander, Peter Wilson, MR-266-AF
"The Day After..." Study: Nuclear Proliferation in the Post-Cold War World. Volume II, Main Report - 1993
Marc Dean Millot, Roger C. Molander, Peter Wilson, MR-253-AF
"The Day After..." Study: Nuclear Proliferation in the Post-Cold War World. Volume III, Exercise Materials - 1993
Marc Dean Millot, Roger C. Molander, Peter Wilson, MR-267-AF
Strategies-to-Tasks
A Framework for Modernization Within the United States Air Force - 2003
Glenn A. Kent, David Ochmanek, MR-1706
Defining a Common Planning Framework for the Air Force - 1999
Leslie Lewis, Bruce Pirnie, William A. Williams, John Y. Schrader, MR-1006
Measures of Human Progress
Work in measuring human progress is relatively new at RAND, but there are a couple of papers that predate current efforts:
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