Pardee Center Publications
Featured Publication
Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis — August 2003
The checkered history of predicting the future—e.g., "Man will never fly"—has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future.
The RAND Pardee Center pursues its mission in five broad areas:
- Developing new methodologies--or refining existing ones--to improve thinking about the long-range effects of policy options.
- Developing improved measures of human progress on an international scale.
- Identifying policy issues with important implications for the long-term future, i.e., 35 years and beyond.
- Using longer-range policy analysis and measures of global progress to improve near-term decisions that have long-term impact.
- Collaborating with like-minded institutions and colleagues, including the United Nations Development Program, academic research centers, futures societies, and individuals around the globe.
RAND has a deep history in two of the above areas -- developing new methodologies and conducting longer-range policy studies -- and has done work in a third -- developing improved measures of human progress. The following linked pages comprise lists of related, unclassified papers in those three areas that RAND has published over the years.
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