CGRS Publications
Publications by Year:
2008 | 2007 | 2006
2008
An Examination of Options to Reduce Underway Training Days Through the Use of Simulation - 2008
The authors find that although most exercises are done underway, many could be done in port with or without the use of simulators.
The Defense Acquisition Workforce: An Analysis of Personnel Trends Relevant to Policy, 1993-2006 — 2008
Susan M. Gates, Edward G. Keating, Adria D. Jewell, Lindsay Daugherty, Bryan Tysinger, Albert A. Robbert, Ralph Masi
This report summarizes workforce analyses covering the civilian acquisition workforce and the military acquisition workforce and its implications for the larger workforce.
Why Has the Cost of Fixed-Wing Aircraft Risen? A Macroscopic Examination of the Trends in U.S. Military Aircraft Costs over the Past Several Decades — 2008
Mark V. Arena, Obaid Younossi, Kevin Brancato, Irv Blickstein, Clifford A. Grammich
This report explores why, in recent decades, military fixed-wing aircraft costs have escalated beyond the rates of commonly used inflation indices.
How Terrorist Groups End
Seth G. Jones, Martin C. Libicki
Military force has rarely been the primary reason for the end of terrorist groups, and few groups since 1968 have achieved victory.
Final Report
News Release
Research Brief
Congressional Briefing
Sustaining Key Skills in the UK Naval Industry — 2008
To preserve its ability to design, build, and support complex warships and submarines, the UK Ministry of Defence (MOD) will need to preserve and sustain several key technical skills.
Considering a Cadre Augmented Army — 2008
This dissertation explores the possibility of integrating a new type of unit into the United States Army.
Does America Need A New Grand Strategy? - 2008
James Dobbins
Testimony presented before the House Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations on July 15, 2008.
Europe's Role in Nation-Building: From the Balkans to the Congo - 2008
This document presents and analyzes six case studies of recent European-led nation-building missions.
PRGS 2008 Defense Seminar Brochure - 2008
“New Security Challenges,” an intensive weeklong program offered by the Pardee RAND Graduate School.
After Saddam - Prewar Planning and the Occupation of Iraq – 2008
Nora Bensahel, Olga Oliker, Keith Crane, Richard R. Brennan, Jr., Heather S. Gregg, Thomas Sullivan, Andrew Rathmell
Examines the prewar planning efforts for postwar Iraq, in order to establish what U.S. policymakers expected the postwar situation to look like, what actually transpired, and what went wrong.
Challenges of Applying Risk Management to Terrorism Security Policy - 2008
Henry H. Willis
Testimony submitted for the record to the House Homeland Security Committee, Subcommittee on Transportation Security and Infrastructure Protection on June 24, 2008.
U.S. Competitiveness in Science and Technology - 2008
Titus Galama, James Hosek
Despite perceptions that the nation is losing its competitive edge, the United States remains the dominant leader in science and technology worldwide, according to this study.
Full Document
Research Brief
News Release
Conference Proceeding
The Rise of Political Islam in Turkey - 2008
Angel Rabasa, F. Stephen Larrabee
As a Muslim-majority country that is also a secular democratic state, a member of NATO, a candidate for membership in the European Union, and a long-standing U.S. ally, Turkey is pivotal to U.S. and Western security interests in a critical area of the world.
Analytic Support to Intelligence in Counter- insurgencies - 2008
Walter L. Perry, John Gordon, IV
Operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have shown that U.S. forces need more-effective techniques and procedures to conduct counterinsurgency.
An Argument for Documenting Casualties: Violence Against Iraqi Civilians 2006 - 2008
Katharine Hall, Dale Stahl
Protecting the civilian population is one of the central tenets of U.S. counterinsurgency doctrine. Until very recently, however, the U.S. military has not had a formal system for documenting the level of violence directed against Iraqi civilians.
The Malay-Muslim Insurgency in Southern Thailand -- Understanding the Conflict's Evolving Dynamic - 2008
: Peter Chalk
Current unrest in the Malay-Muslim provinces of southern Thailand has captured growing national, regional, and international attention.
Doctrine of Eternal Recurrence -- The U.S. Military and Counterinsurgency Doctrine, 1960-1970 and 2003-2006: RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Paper 6 - 2008
Austin Long
Mental and material preparation for high-intensity warfare has made the U.S. military poorly suited to COIN.
Cover: Planning for Diversity: Options and Recommendations for DoD Leaders - 2008
Nelson Lim, Michelle Cho, Kimberly Curry
Despite the U.S. armed forces' historical role as a model for racial integration, many groups are still underrepresented.
Rethinking Counterinsurgency: RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Volume 5 - 2008
John Mackinlay, Alison Al-Baddawy
Operational failures in Iraq and Afghanistan have highlighted the need for the West to rethink and retool its current COIN strategy. The authors suggest a new framework for future COIN operations.
Afghanistan: State and Society, Great Power Politics, and the Way Ahead: Findings from an International Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 2007 - 2008
Cheryl Benard, Ole Kvaerno, Peter Dahl Thruelsen, Kristen Cordell
This volume compiles 11 of the papers presented at the conference; themes include the importance of historical precedents, coordination, and the development of a long-term strategic approach.
Fiscally Informed Total Force Manpower - 2008
Harry J. Thie, John Christian, Matthew Stafford, Roland J. Yardley, Peter Schirmer
This report presents the results of a short–term review of 27 publicly available manpower studies to discover methods that other organizations could use to make “fiscally informed” manpower decisions.
Invisible Wounds: Predicting the Immediate and Long-Term Consequences of Mental Health Problems in Veterans of Operation Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi Freedom – 2008
Benjamin R. Karney, Rajeev Ramchand, Karen Chan Osilla, Leah B. Caldarone, Rachel M. Burns
Early evidence suggests that the psychological toll of Iraq deployments may be disproportionately high compared with the physical injuries of combat.
An Examination of the Relationship Between Usage and Operating and Support Costs for Air Force Aircraft – 2008
Eric J. Unger
This research examines the relationship between operating and support (O&S) costs and usage of Air Force aircraft, in order to improve resource allocation.
Comparing Alternative U.S. Counterterrorism Strategies: Can Assumption-Based Planning Help Elevate the Debate? – 2008
Robert J. Lempert, Horacio R. Trujillo, David Aaron, James A. Dewar, Sandra H. Berry, Steven W. Popper
This briefing reports on two sets of workshops that attempted to use assumption-based planning (ABP) to help contentious groups more systematically debate alternative U.S. counterterrorism strategies.
Perspectives on the Threat of Nuclear Terrorism - 2008
Roger C. Molander
Testimony presented before the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs on April 15, 2008.
The Challenge of Nuclear-Armed Regional Adversaries - 2008
David Ochmanek, Lowell H. Schwartz
North Korea’s test of a nuclear weapon in 2006 shows that such weapons are within reach of determined regional powers.
Small Ships in Theater Security Cooperation – 2008
Robert W. Button, Irv Blickstein, Laurence Smallman, David Newton, Michele A. Poole, Michael Nixon
The Navy asked the RAND Corporation to analyze necessary small vessel characteristics, focusing on TSC operations in sub-Saharan Africa.
Turkey as a U.S. Security Partner – 2008
F. Stephen Larrabee
Turkey has long been an important U.S. ally, but especially with the end of the Cold War, the relationship has been changing.
Finding Candidate Options for Investment: From Building Blocks to Composite Options and Preliminary Screening - 2008
Paul K. Davis, Russell D. Shaver, Gaga Gvineria, Justin Beck
This report describes and documents a methodology and a prototype tool (BCOT), for identifying investment options suitable to a particular defense capability area.
Radicalization or Rehabilitation: Understanding the challenge of extremist and radicalized prisoners - 2008
Greg Hannah, Lindsay Clutterbuck, Jennifer Rubin
This study provides a preliminary overview of the challenges posed by radicalized and extremist prisoners, and European Muslims in the prison environment.
An Iraqi Modus Vivendi: How Would It Come About and What Would It Look Like? - 2008
Terrence K. Kelly
Testimony presented before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on April 3, 2008.
Getting Back on Track in Afghanistan - 2008
Seth G. Jones
Testimony presented before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia on April 2, 2008.
Stabilization and Reconstruction Staffing: Developing U.S. Civilian Personnel Capabilities - 2008
Terrence K. Kelly, Ellen E. Tunstall, Thomas S. Szayna, Deanna Weber Prine
Recent U.S. experiences in Afghanistan and in Iraq, especially, have shown that engaging in stability and reconstruction operations is a difficult and lengthy process.
Evaluating Novel Threats to the Homeland: Unmanned Aerial Vehicles and Cruise Missiles - 2008
Brian A. Jackson, David R. Frelinger, Michael J. Lostumbo, Robert W. Button
Changes in technology and adversary behavior will invariably produce new threats that must be assessed by defense and homeland security planners.
Modernizing the North Korean System: Objectives, Method, and Application – 2008
Charles Wolf, Jr., Norman D. Levin
In seeking a modernized North Korea, the focus should be on stimulating a gradual modernization of the North Korean system rather than removing the regime.
Soft Power, Hard Power, and Counterinsurgency: The Early Soviet Experience in Central Asia and Its Implications – 2008
Olga Oliker
Discusses the Soviet experience in Central Asia and concludes by drawing some parallels and disconnects with more recent efforts to fight insurgency and opposition, identifying lessons and implications for the near and longer term.
Conducting Counterinsurgency Operations: Lessons from Iraq (2003-2006) - 2008
Bruce R. Pirnie, Edward O'Connell
This research brief examines U.S. counterinsurgency (COIN) operations in Iraq from 2003 to 2006.
Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis - 2008
Gregory F. Treverton, C. Bryan Gabbard
This report assesses the tradecraft of intelligence analysis across the main U.S. intelligence agencies, such as the CIA and the NSA, and recommends improvements.
The Thin Green Line: An Assessment of DoD’s Readiness and Environmental Protection Initiative to Buffer Installation Encroachment - 2007
Beth E. Lachman, Anny Wong, Susan A. Resetar
The authors discuss the main causes of encroachment; detail the benefits, both to the military and local communities, of buffering areas near installations with REPI projects; and provide recommendations for how to improve REPI’s effectiveness.
Women and Nation-Building
Cheryl Benard, Seth G. Jones, Olga Oliker, Cathryn Quantic Thurston, Brooke K. Stearns, Kristen Cordell
This study examines gender-specific impacts of conflict and post-conflict and the ways in which events in these contexts may affect women differently than they affect men.
Cuba After Castro Legacies, Challenges, and Impediments – 2004
Edward Gonzalez, Kevin F. McCarthy
How is Castro's more than four-decade rule likely to affect a post-Castro Cuba? The authors offer possible policy guidelines for the United States to foster a stable and prosperous post-Castro Cuba.
Whose Responsibility? – 2007
Don Prosnitz
How should scientists and engineers respond to the concern over technology-driven threats?
Portfolio-Analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options - 2008
Paul K. Davis, Russell D. Shaver, Justin Beck
This monograph presents and illustrates in some detail an analytical framework and methodology for defensewide capability-area reviews and describes new enabling tools to support capabilities analysis and related tradeoff work within the Department of Defense and the military Services.
War by Other Means -- Building Complete and Balanced Capabilities for Counterinsurgency: RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Final Report - 2008
David C. Gompert, John Gordon, IV, Adam Grissom, David R. Frelinger, Seth G. Jones, Martin C. Libicki, Edward O'Connell, Brooke K. Stearns, Robert E. Hunter
The difficulties encountered by the United States in securing Iraq and Afghanistan despite years of effort and staggering costs raises the central question of the RAND Counterinsurgency Study: How should the United States improve its capabilities to counter insurgencies?
Counterinsurgency in Iraq (2003-2006): RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Volume 2 – 2008
Bruce R. Pirnie, Edward O'Connell
This monograph outlines strategic considerations relative to counterinsurgency (COIN) campaigns and presents an overview of the current conflict in Iraq.
Remuneration and its motivation of UK military personnel - 2008
Hans Pung, Samir Puri, Tom Ling, Michael Hallsworth, Laurence Smallman
RAND was commissioned by the UK Ministry of Defence to study the attitudes of military personnel towards their remuneration package and determine whether it motivates them stay in the Armed Forces.
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