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RAND Economist Biography

Keith W. Crane

Senior Economist Washington Office EDUCATION Ph.D., Economics Indiana University 1983

FIELDS Comparative Systems International Economics POLICY AREAS Transition economies, International trade, Post-conflict societies, Middle East, Energy, Automotive industry

RECENT PROJECTS

Forecasting Russia’s economic growth and military spending, evaluating barriers to trade and investment in Ukraine, assessing the experiences with post-conflict nation building; estimating and projecting China’s military spending; labor market reform in Qatar, assessing lessons learned from post-conflict operations in Iraq, evaluating economic prospects in the Middle East. In the fall of 2003, worked for the Coalition Provision Authority in Iraq as an advisor on economic policy.

SELECTED PUBLICATIONS

• Encouraging Trade and Foreign Direct Investment in Ukraine MG-673-NSRD, with F. Stephen Larrabee, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, September 2007.
• U.S. Policy Options for Iraq, MG-613-PAF with Olga Oliker, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, August 2007.
• The Beginner’s Guide to Nation-Building, MG-557-SRF, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, April 2007.
• Inside Iran: Pressures and Vulnerabilities in a Rapidly Changing Nation, with Rollie Lal, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, August 2007.
• Making Liberia Safe: Transformation of the National Security Sector, MG-529-OSD with David Gompert, Brook Stearns, Olga Oliker and Jack Riley, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, January 2007.
• “Russian Investment in the Commonwealth of Independent States,” with D.J. Peterson and Olga Oliker, Eurasian Geography and Economics, Vol. 46: No. 6, 2005, pp. 404-444.
• Building a Successful Palestinian State, with Ross Anthony et al., the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, April 2005.
• Doing Business with the Euro: Risks and Opportunities, with Nathan Chandler, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, 2005.
• Developing Iraq’s Security Sector, MG-365-NDRI, with Andrew Rathmell, Olga Oliker, Terrence K. Kelly, and David Brannan, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, 2005.
• Modernizing China's Military: Opportunities and Constraints, MG-260-AF, with Roger Cliff, Evan Medeiros, James Mulvenon, and William Overholt, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, July 2005.
• The UN's Role in Nation Building: From Congo to Iraq, with James Dobbins, et al., the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, January 2005.
• A New Direction for China's Defense Industry, with Roger Cliff, Evan Medeiros, James Mulvenon, and William Overholt, August 2004.
• Economic Effects of Technical Barriers to Trade on U.S. Exporters, with Steven Popper, Victoria Greenfield, and Rehan Malik, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California, 2004.
• "Economic Prospects and Policy in Iraq", with William Block, Chris Foote, and Simon Gray, Journal of Economic Perspectives, forthcoming.
• America’s Role in National-Building: From Germany to Iraq, MR-1753-RC with Jim Dobbins, Jerry McGinn, Seth Jones, Rollie Lal, and Andrew Rathmell, the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California, June 2003.

OTHER POSITIONS

Chief Operating Office and Director of Research, PlanEcon, Inc., 1991- 2002.

Senior Economist, PlanEcon, Inc., 1990 - 1991.

Economist, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica 1983-1990.