Staff Profiles
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Robert J. LempertSanta Monica Office Director, Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition; Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School Media AvailabilityThis researcher is available for interviews. Show Details » EducationPh.D. in applied physics, S.M. in applied physics and science policy, Harvard University; B.A.S. in physics and political science, Stanford University |
Research Focus
Climate change; environment; long-term policy analysis; risk and uncertainty management; strategy under uncertainty
RAND Research Areas
Recent Projects
- Developing and applying new tools for managing deep uncertainty and surprise
- Climate change and environment
- Responses to terrorism
- Managing innovation
Selected Publications
Robert J. Lempert et al., "A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios", Management Science, 52(4), 2006
Steven W. Popper et al., "Shaping the Future", Scientific American, 292(4), 2005
Robert J. Lempert et al., Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative Long-Term Policy Analysis, RAND Corporation, 2003
, "Finding Transatlantic Common Ground on Climate Change?", The International Spectator, 36(2), 2002
Robert Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Robert Klitgaard and Paul C. Light, "High-Performance Government in an Uncertain World",
Biography
Robert Lempert is a Senior Physical Scientist at RAND and an expert in the field of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty, Dr. Lempert is a Fellow of the American Physical Society, a member of the National Research Council's Climate Research Committee, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. He is principal investigator for a major effort on climate change decision making and currently co-leading a study on the Federal role in providing terrorism insurance. He has also led studies on climate change policy, the environment, energy, national security strategies, and on science and technology investment strategies for clients that include the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, the U.S. Department of Energy, the National Science Foundation, and several multinational firms. A Professor of Policy Analysis in the RAND Graduate School, Dr. Lempert is an author of the recent book Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Longer-Term Policy Analysis.
RAND Research Areas
Biography
Lempert was a member of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize–winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Lempert is a senior scientist who is an internationally known scholar in the field of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, a fellow of the American Physical Society, and a member of the National Academy of Science's Climate Research Committee. His research focuses on improving methods for long-term policy analysis and for using data and models to support decisionmaking where accurate forecasts are impossible. He is leading a major National Science Foundation–funded study that aims to improve methods for using scientific and other information to support decisions about climate change. He has worked extensively in the areas of environment, energy, and national security strategies; and he has conducted research on science and technology investment strategies for clients that include the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, the U.S. Department of Energy, the National Science Foundation, and several multinational firms.Research Focus
Climate change, environment, long-term policy analysis, risk and uncertainty management, strategy under uncertainty
Recent Projects
- Developing and applying new tools for managing deep uncertainty and surprise
- Climate change and environment
- Responses to terrorism
- Managing innovation
Selected Publications
"U.S. Pharmaceutical Policy in a Global Marketplace," Darius N. Lakdawalla et al., Health Affairs, Vol. 28, No. 1, Jan/Feb 2009
Comparing Alternative U.S. Counterterrorism Strategies: Can Assumption-Based
Planning Help Elevate the Debate? Robert J. Lempert et al., RAND Corporation, 2008
Impacts on U.S. Energy Expenditures and Greenhouse-Gas Emissions of Increasing Renewable-Energy Use, Michael Toman et al., RAND Corporation, 2008
The Federal Role in Terrorism Insurance: Evaluating Alternatives in an Uncertain World, Lloyd Dixon et al., RAND Corporation, 2007
Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis, Robert J. Lempert et al., RAND Corporation, 2003
Recent Media Appearances
Interviews: Beyond the Beltway; Fox; New York Times; NPR
Commentary: American Interest; United Press International
To arrange an interview:
Contact the RAND Office of Media Relations, (703) 413-1100, x5117 or (310) 451-6913, or send an email to media@rand.org.




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